Bet with MINO CASINO →Lillestrøm meet Plzeň on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lillestrøm are 31st with 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), whereas Plzeň are 33rd with 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Lillestrøm have scored 0.8 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Plzeň average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–10; Plzeň: 1W 0D 4L, goals 7–11.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lillestrøm 4–10, Plzeň 7–11.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Lillestrøm 2, Plzeň 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lillestrøm are missing: E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara. Plzeň are without: V. Jemelka, M. Tvrdon. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.92 | 3.88 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.86 | 3.71 | 2.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.41 | 2.06 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.57 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.40 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 31st (1 point), Plzeň 33rd (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 1W 2D 2L (4:10), Plzeň 1W 0D 4L (7:11).
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Plzeň 2.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: who is missing
Lillestrøm
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
Plzeň
- V. Jemelkaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Tvrdonnot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LillestrømLDLPlzeňLLLReturns calculator
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
Lillestrøm +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
Our probabilities: Lillestrøm to win 33%, a draw 25%, Plzeň to win 42%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara. Plzeň: V. Jemelka, M. Tvrdon. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (8.9%) and 2–1 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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