Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm v Brann is on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm); Mohammad Usman Aslam takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lillestrøm are 5th with 42 points after 25 matches (13W 3D 9L), whereas Brann are 7th with 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
- Attack and defence. Lillestrøm have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Brann average 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 11W 3D 9L, goals 32–31; Brann: 9W 2D 12L, goals 40–37.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Lillestrøm have 4 wins, Brann have 9 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–28.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Lillestrøm 4 wins, 4 draws, Brann 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lillestrøm 32–31, Brann 40–37.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, best available odds 2.05). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lillestrøm are missing: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann are without: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.35 | 3.96 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 11W 3D 9L (32:31), Brann 9W 2D 12L (40:37).
- H2H: 17 matches: Lillestrøm 4W 4D 9L, goals 17–28.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Brann: who is missing
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebarainjury · will miss the match
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Brann
- N. Boakyeknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Kjartanssonknee injury · will miss the match
- U. Mathisenfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Opsahlfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Sorensenabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Brann: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LillestrømWWWDLBrannWLLLWLillestrøm vs Brann: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lillestrøm vs Brann: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Under 3.5 goals (1.88); Lillestrøm or draw (1X) (1.47).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Our probabilities: Lillestrøm to win 41%, a draw 25%, Brann to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 68% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.