Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FK Jablonec are at home to Plzeň on 18 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec), with Jan Machálek as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.93 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.41 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.95 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 3.00 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.65 | 56.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:16. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FK Jablonec 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: FK Jablonec 7th (20 points), Plzeň 9th (19 points).
- Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: who is missing
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Plzeň
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
FK Jablonec
Home and away
FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FK Jablonec are 7th with 20 points after 13 matches (6W 2D 5L), whereas Plzeň are 9th with 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FK Jablonec are missing: no absences. Plzeň are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?
Our result tip is FK Jablonec or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is FK Jablonec or draw (1X).
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?
Our probabilities: FK Jablonec to win 40%, a draw 27%, Plzeň to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec. Referee: Jan Machálek.
Who will be missing?
FK Jablonec: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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