Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sandefjord meet Lillestrøm on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord), refereed by Tore Hansen, Norway. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.61 | 3.68 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.58 | 2.54 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.53 | 36.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 3W 3D 12L, goals 20–37.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: who is missing
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sandefjord are 12th with 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L), whereas Lillestrøm are 5th with 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Sandefjord have 3 wins, Lillestrøm have 12 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–37.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Lillestrøm are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 3 wins, 3 draws, Lillestrøm 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sandefjord are missing: no absences. Lillestrøm are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: head to head
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Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Our result tip is Sandefjord or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Sandefjord or draw (1X).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Our probabilities: Sandefjord to win 37%, a draw 26%, Lillestrøm to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord. Referee: Tore Hansen, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Lillestrøm: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.