Bet with MINO CASINO →NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia is on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion de Goffert (Nijmegen). We think NEC Nijmegen (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 20th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas Omonia Nicosia are 11th with 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. NEC Nijmegen have scored 1.7 and conceded 2.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Omonia Nicosia average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. NEC Nijmegen: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–8; Omonia Nicosia: 4W 1D 2L, goals 11–8.
What to expect
NEC Nijmegen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: NEC Nijmegen 5–8, Omonia Nicosia 11–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: NEC Nijmegen 8, Omonia Nicosia 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
NEC Nijmegen are missing: M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic, A. Tahaui. Omonia Nicosia are without: C. Eiting, F. Kitsos, L. Nego. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.82 | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.94 | 4.05 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.46 | 3.52 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.40 | 39.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 20th (4 points), Omonia Nicosia 11th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: NEC Nijmegen 1W 1D 1L (5:8), Omonia Nicosia 4W 1D 2L (11:8).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 8, Omonia Nicosia 3.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: who is missing
NEC Nijmegen
- M. Bakkernot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Geigernot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Hansen-Aaroennot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Morgroin injury · will miss the match
- B. Nuytinckankle injury · will miss the match
- P. Sandlerinjury · will miss the match
- D. Tadiccalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Tahauinot in the squad · will miss the match
Omonia Nicosia
- C. Eitingknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Kitsosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Negonot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
NEC Nijmegen
Home and away
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
NEC NijmegenWDLOmonia NicosiaLWWReturns calculator
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our result tip is NEC Nijmegen to win (odds 1.82), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60). The safer pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our probabilities: NEC Nijmegen to win 53%, a draw 24%, Omonia Nicosia to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic, A. Tahaui. Omonia Nicosia: C. Eiting, F. Kitsos, L. Nego. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.