Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava v Plzeň is on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava); Jan Všetečka takes charge. We think Plzeň (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Baník Ostrava are 13th with 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L), whereas Plzeň are 9th with 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Baník Ostrava have scored 0.6 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Plzeň average 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Baník Ostrava: 3W 2D 6L, goals 7–18; Plzeň: 4W 4D 4L, goals 24–21.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Baník Ostrava have 3 wins, Plzeň have 14 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–36.
What to expect
Plzeň should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Baník Ostrava 3 wins, 4 draws, Plzeň 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Baník Ostrava 7–18, Plzeň 24–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Baník Ostrava are missing: no absences. Plzeň are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.20 | 4.08 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 4.02 | 3.82 | 1.76 |
| Lowest odds | 3.67 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.30 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.55 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.37 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Plzeň 9th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Baník Ostrava 3W 2D 6L (7:18), Plzeň 4W 4D 4L (24:21).
- H2H: 21 matches: Baník Ostrava 3W 4D 14L, goals 14–36.
- Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: who is missing
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Plzeň
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Baník Ostrava
Home and away
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Baník OstravaLDLDLPlzeňWLWWLBaník Ostrava vs Plzeň: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?
Our result tip is Plzeň to win (odds 1.81), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or Plzeň (X2).
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?
Our probabilities: Baník Ostrava to win 23%, a draw 24%, Plzeň to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Jan Všetečka.
Who will be missing?
Baník Ostrava: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.5%); after that come 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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