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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Crystal Palace1.99
XDraw4.06
21899 Hoffenheim3.74

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:31

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Crystal Palace are at home to 1899 Hoffenheim on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Selhurst Park (London). Our favourites are Crystal Palace (48%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: tip and prediction
Result
Crystal Palace to win
1.99
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
48%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) – 73% probability, top odds 1.31.

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Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Crystal Palace are 15th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Crystal Palace have scored 2.7 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; 1899 Hoffenheim average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 1W 1D 1L, goals 8–5; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 2L, goals 5–5.

What to expect

Crystal Palace should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Crystal Palace 8–5, 1899 Hoffenheim 5–5.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  3. Absent: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Crystal Palace are missing: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim are without: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.994.063.74
Market average1.943.823.51
Lowest odds1.903.373.09
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5361.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.562.4538.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3340.9%
BTTS – yes1.501.4862.9%
BTTS – no2.632.5137.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Crystal Palace 15th (4 points), 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (3 points).
  • Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 1W 1D 1L (8:5), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 2L (5:5).
  • Absences: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Crystal Palace48%
Draw25%
1899 Hoffenheim27%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Crystal Palace or draw (1X)73.1% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.31
Likely
Both sides to score: yes62.9% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.6% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.65
Possible
Crystal Palace to win48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.99
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.4% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.56
Outsider
Both sides to score: no37.1% · fair odds 2.69 · best 2.63
Outsider
1899 Hoffenheim to win26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.74
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 4.06
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.2%
2 : 19.4%
1 : 07.5%
2 : 07.0%
1 : 26.9%
2 : 26.4%

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: who is missing

Crystal Palace

  • C. Doucourenot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Z. Gozonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • E. Guessandnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Lermanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
  • T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
  • J. Larsenankle injury · doubtful
  • I. Sarrgroin injury · doubtful
  • Q. Timberhamstring injury · doubtful

1899 Hoffenheim

  • B. Contegroin injury · will miss the match
  • N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
  • L. Engelnsnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • V. Gendreyankle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
  • R. Hranacknee injury · will miss the match
  • P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
  • V. Coufalmuscle injury · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Crystal Palace

31 OctLTottenham 2–0 Crystal Palace
25 OctLCrystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
22 OctDBeşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
18 OctLBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace
15 OctLLyon 3–2 Crystal Palace

1899 Hoffenheim

31 OctLWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
25 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
15 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş

Home and away

Crystal Palace at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0
1899 Hoffenheim away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: team stats compared

Crystal Palace1899 Hoffenheim
57%Form43%
62%Attack38%
50%Defence50%
56.3%Overall43.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Crystal PalaceDLW
1899 HoffenheimWLL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.2%

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our result tip is Crystal Palace to win (odds 1.99), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Crystal Palace or draw (1X).

Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our probabilities: Crystal Palace to win 48%, a draw 25%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 27%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Selhurst Park, London.

Who will be missing?

Crystal Palace: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.56).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (7.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.