Crystal Palace are at home to 1899 Hoffenheim on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Selhurst Park (London). Our favourites are Crystal Palace (48%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Crystal Palace are 15th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Crystal Palace have scored 2.7 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; 1899 Hoffenheim average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 1W 1D 1L, goals 8–5; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 2L, goals 5–5.
What to expect
Crystal Palace should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Crystal Palace 8–5, 1899 Hoffenheim 5–5.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Crystal Palace are missing: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim are without: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.99 | 4.06 | 3.74 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 3.82 | 3.51 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.37 | 3.09 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.53 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.56 | 2.45 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 15th (4 points), 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 1W 1D 1L (8:5), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 2L (5:5).
- Absences: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: who is missing
Crystal Palace
- C. Doucourenot in the squad · will miss the match
- Z. Gozonot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Guessandnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Lermanot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Larsenankle injury · doubtful
- I. Sarrgroin injury · doubtful
- Q. Timberhamstring injury · doubtful
1899 Hoffenheim
- B. Contegroin injury · will miss the match
- N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Engelnsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- V. Gendreyankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
- R. Hranacknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
- V. Coufalmuscle injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our result tip is Crystal Palace to win (odds 1.99), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Crystal Palace or draw (1X).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our probabilities: Crystal Palace to win 48%, a draw 25%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Selhurst Park, London.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.56).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (7.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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