Bet with MINO CASINO →AC Milan v Ferencvárosi TC is on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan). We think AC Milan (72%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AC Milan are 24th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Ferencvárosi TC are 4th with 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. AC Milan have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Ferencvárosi TC average 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–5; Ferencvárosi TC: 9W 2D 0L, goals 25–8.
What to expect
AC Milan should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Ferencvárosi TC are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AC Milan 4–5, Ferencvárosi TC 25–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: AC Milan 7, Ferencvárosi TC 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AC Milan are missing: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, M. Maignan, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Ferencvárosi TC are without: E. Botka, B. Nagy, B. Otvos, G. Szecsi, F. Kovacevic. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.33 | 6.00 | 11.10 |
| Market average | 1.29 | 5.44 | 9.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.94 | 7.14 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Milan 2–0 Ferencvárosi TC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 24th (3 points), Ferencvárosi TC 4th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 1W 0D 2L (4:5), Ferencvárosi TC 9W 2D 0L (25:8).
- Absences: AC Milan 7, Ferencvárosi TC 5.
Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: who is missing
AC Milan
- W. Bondonot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Maignanred card · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Tomorimuscle injury · will miss the match
Ferencvárosi TC
- E. Botkanot in the squad · will miss the match
- B. Nagynot in the squad · will miss the match
- B. Otvosknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Szecsinot in the squad · will miss the match
- F. Kovacevicinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AC MilanLWLFerencvárosi TCWWWReturns calculator
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
Our result tip is AC Milan to win (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is AC Milan or draw (1X).
Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
Our probabilities: AC Milan to win 72%, a draw 17%, Ferencvárosi TC to win 10%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, M. Maignan, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Ferencvárosi TC: E. Botka, B. Nagy, B. Otvos, G. Szecsi, F. Kovacevic. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.7%); after that come 1–0 (9.8%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.