Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Start are at home to Lillestrøm on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), with Ola Hobber Nilsen as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Start vs Lillestrøm: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.98 | 3.78 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.57 | 3.42 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.56 | 2.44 | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:07. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Start 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Start 16th (19 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- Form in the competition: Start 5W 4D 15L (26:54), Lillestrøm 12W 3D 9L (35:33).
- H2H: 7 matches: Start 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–12.
- Absences: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Start vs Lillestrøm: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Start vs Lillestrøm: who is missing
Start
- J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
- K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
- S. Griesbeckinjury · doubtful
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
- P. Dahlberginjury · doubtful
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Start vs Lillestrøm: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Start
Home and away
Start vs Lillestrøm: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Start are 16th with 19 points after 25 matches (5W 4D 16L), whereas Lillestrøm are 5th with 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Start have scored 1.1 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Lillestrøm average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Start: 5W 4D 15L, goals 26–54; Lillestrøm: 12W 3D 9L, goals 35–33.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Start have 1 win, Lillestrøm have 4 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–12.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Start 1 win, 2 draws, Lillestrøm 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Start 26–54, Lillestrøm 35–33.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Start are missing: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm are without: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Start vs Lillestrøm: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
StartLWLLLLillestrømWWWDLStart vs Lillestrøm: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Start vs Lillestrøm: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Start vs Lillestrøm?
Our result tip is Draw or Lillestrøm (X2) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Lillestrøm (X2).
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
Our probabilities: Start to win 33%, a draw 26%, Lillestrøm to win 41%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.
Who will be missing?
Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.56).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.