Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm are at home to Real Sociedad on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), with Mohammad Al-Emara as the referee. Our favourites are Real Sociedad (68%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 7.00 | 5.52 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.68 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.26 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 1.96 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–2 Real Sociedad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 31st (1 point), Real Sociedad 14th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lillestrøm 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–6.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: who is missing
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lillestrøm are 31st with 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), whereas Real Sociedad are 14th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Lillestrøm have 0 wins, Real Sociedad have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–6.
What to expect
Real Sociedad should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Lillestrøm 0 wins, 0 draws, Real Sociedad 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lillestrøm are missing: no absences. Real Sociedad are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: head to head
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Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Our result tip is Real Sociedad to win (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Real Sociedad (X2).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Our probabilities: Lillestrøm to win 14%, a draw 18%, Real Sociedad to win 68%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: no absences. Real Sociedad: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.26).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.5%); after that come 0–2 (9.1%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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