Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Plzeň v Levski Sofia is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner); Alejandro Hernández takes charge. We think Plzeň (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Plzeň are 33rd with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Levski Sofia are 17th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Plzeň have 0 wins, Levski Sofia have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–2.
What to expect
Plzeň should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Levski Sofia are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Plzeň 0 wins, 0 draws, Levski Sofia 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Plzeň are missing: no absences. Levski Sofia are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 3.86 | 4.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.63 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.02 | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.09 | 2.90 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Levski Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Plzeň 33rd (0 points), Levski Sofia 17th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Plzeň 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
- Absences: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.
Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: who is missing
Plzeň
- No reported absences
Levski Sofia
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Plzeň
Home and away
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Plzeň to win (1.78).
Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
Our probabilities: Plzeň to win 55%, a draw 25%, Levski Sofia to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Alejandro Hernández.
Who will be missing?
Plzeň: no absences. Levski Sofia: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–0 (11.2%) and 2–1 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.