Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Plzeň v Pardubice is on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner); Daniel Vokoun takes charge. We think Plzeň (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Plzeň are 9th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Pardubice are 12th with 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Plzeň have scored 2.1 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Pardubice average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Plzeň: 4W 4D 3L, goals 23–19; Pardubice: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–16.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Plzeň have 8 wins, Pardubice have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–13.
What to expect
Plzeň should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Plzeň 8 wins, 2 draws, Pardubice 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Plzeň 23–19, Pardubice 12–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Plzeň are missing: no absences. Pardubice are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.69 | 4.31 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 4.02 | 4.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.59 | 3.71 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 16:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Pardubice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Plzeň 9th (19 points), Pardubice 12th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Plzeň 4W 4D 3L (23:19), Pardubice 3W 2D 6L (12:16).
- H2H: 13 matches: Plzeň 8W 2D 3L, goals 27–13.
- Absences: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.
Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Plzeň vs Pardubice: who is missing
Plzeň
- No reported absences
Pardubice
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Plzeň
Home and away
Plzeň vs Pardubice: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PlzeňWLWWLPardubiceLWWLWPlzeň vs Pardubice: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Plzeň vs Pardubice: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Plzeň vs Pardubice?
Our result tip is Plzeň to win (odds 1.69), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Plzeň or draw (1X).
Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?
Our probabilities: Plzeň to win 56%, a draw 23%, Pardubice to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Daniel Vokoun.
Who will be missing?
Plzeň: no absences. Pardubice: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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