Bet with MINO CASINO →AZ Alkmaar v Juventus is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） (Alkmaar). We think Juventus (48%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 10th with 6 points after 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), whereas Juventus are 7th with 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. AZ Alkmaar have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Juventus average 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AZ Alkmaar: 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–2; Juventus: 2W 1D 0L, goals 9–3.
What to expect
Juventus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AZ Alkmaar 6–2, Juventus 9–3.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: AZ Alkmaar 5, Juventus 11.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AZ Alkmaar are missing: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, H. Verhulst, J. Zoet. Juventus are without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, D. Rugani, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, E. Zhegrova, W. McKennie. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.86 | 3.84 | 2.00 |
| Market average | 3.66 | 3.61 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 3.28 | 3.16 | 1.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.78 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.03 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.92 | 32.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AZ Alkmaar 10th (6 points), Juventus 7th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: AZ Alkmaar 2W 0D 1L (6:2), Juventus 2W 1D 0L (9:3).
- Absences: AZ Alkmaar 5, Juventus 11.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: who is missing
AZ Alkmaar
- J. Hornkampinjury · will miss the match
- S. Resinkknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Smitinjury · will miss the match
- H. Verhulstnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Zoetnot in the squad · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Ruganinot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
- E. Zhegrovanot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. McKenniegroin injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
AZ Alkmaar
Home and away
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AZ AlkmaarWWLJuventusDWWReturns calculator
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our result tip is Juventus to win (odds 2.00), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Draw or Juventus (X2).
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our probabilities: AZ Alkmaar to win 26%, a draw 26%, Juventus to win 48%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar.
Who will be missing?
AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, H. Verhulst, J. Zoet. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, D. Rugani, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, E. Zhegrova, W. McKennie. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.81); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.09).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 0–1 (10.0%) and 1–2 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.