Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Match overview
Juventus welcome Lazio to the Allianz Stadium for a Serie A encounter that features two teams built around solid defensive organization and careful game management.
Why Under 2.5 goals
The recent scoring trends and expected‑goals data suggest a low‑scoring affair. Three points support this view:
- Juventus have prevented a goal in five of their last eight matches at home.
- Lazio have averaged only 1.1 goals per away game this season.
- Four of the previous five meetings between the sides ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Key numbers
| Metric | Juventus | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 |
Verdict
With both coaches favouring caution, strong defensive records and a history of tight encounters, the most valuable option is the Under. We recommend Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
Juventus vs Lazio: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.66 | 4.22 | 5.74 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 4.01 | 5.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.88 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.21 | 3.10 | 30.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Juventus 1–0 Lazio, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Juventus 7th (17 points), Lazio 1st (28 points).
- Absences: Juventus 0, Lazio 0.
Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Juventus vs Lazio: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Juventus vs Lazio: who is missing
Juventus
- No reported absences
Lazio
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Juventus vs Lazio: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
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Juventus vs Lazio: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Juventus vs Lazio?
Under 2.5 goals (1.80)
Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?
Our probabilities: Juventus to win 59%, a draw 24%, Lazio to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Allianz Stadium, Turin. Referee: Davide Massa.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.92); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.1%); after that come 2–0 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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