Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar is on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan); Patrik Kolarič takes charge. We think AZ Alkmaar (67%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 7.90 | 5.12 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.28 | 4.85 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 5.03 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.36 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ararat-Armenia 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points), AZ Alkmaar 10th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Ararat-Armenia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
- Absences: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: who is missing
Ararat-Armenia
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Ararat-Armenia
Home and away
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas AZ Alkmaar are 10th with 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Ararat-Armenia have 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–4.
What to expect
AZ Alkmaar should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Ararat-Armenia 0 wins, 0 draws, AZ Alkmaar 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ararat-Armenia are missing: no absences. AZ Alkmaar are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: head to head
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Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our result tip is AZ Alkmaar to win (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60). The safer pick is Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2).
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our probabilities: Ararat-Armenia to win 13%, a draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar to win 67%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Referee: Patrik Kolarič.
Who will be missing?
Ararat-Armenia: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.