Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cambuur are at home to AZ Alkmaar on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden), with Stan Teuben as the referee. Our favourites are AZ Alkmaar (65%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cambuur are 9th with 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), whereas AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
AZ Alkmaar should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cambuur are missing: no absences. AZ Alkmaar are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.50 | 5.15 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.14 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.87 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cambuur 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cambuur 9th (15 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: who is missing
Cambuur
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Cambuur +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our probabilities: Cambuur to win 15%, a draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar to win 65%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. Referee: Stan Teuben.
Who will be missing?
Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.08).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.6%); after that come 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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