Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Juventus v Napoli is on 1 November 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Stadium (Turin); Simone Sozza takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Juventus vs Napoli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Juventus are 7th with 17 points after 10 matches (5W 2D 3L), whereas Napoli are 8th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Juventus have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Napoli average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Juventus: 4W 2D 3L, goals 11–10; Napoli: 4W 2D 3L, goals 17–11.
- Head to head. In their 37 meetings so far, Juventus have 16 wins, Napoli have 13 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 58–49.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 37; Juventus 16 wins, 8 draws, Napoli 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Juventus 11–10, Napoli 17–11.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Juventus are missing: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Napoli are without: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Juventus vs Napoli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.34 | 3.50 | 3.46 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.31 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.17 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.10 | 44.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Juventus 1–1 Napoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Juventus 7th (17 points), Napoli 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Juventus 4W 2D 3L (11:10), Napoli 4W 2D 3L (17:11).
- H2H: 37 matches: Juventus 16W 8D 13L, goals 58–49.
- Absences: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Juventus vs Napoli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Juventus vs Napoli: who is missing
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santosmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Badiashileinjury · will miss the match
- A. Buongiornoknee injury · will miss the match
- David Neresthigh injury · will miss the match
- C. Favasulithigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Lobotkaankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Spinazzolathigh injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Juventus vs Napoli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Juventus
Home and away
Juventus vs Napoli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
JuventusWLWLDNapoliLWDLWJuventus vs Napoli: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Juventus vs Napoli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Juventus vs Napoli?
Over 2.5 goals (2.01); Juventus or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Our probabilities: Juventus to win 42%, a draw 29%, Napoli to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Allianz Stadium, Turin. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Napoli: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 2.01); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.99).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.