Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lecce v Juventus is on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce); Fabio Maresca takes charge. We think Juventus (62%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Lecce vs Juventus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lecce are 14th with 9 points after 10 matches (3W 0D 7L), whereas Juventus are 7th with 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Lecce have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Juventus average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Lecce have 1 win, Juventus have 10 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–25.
What to expect
Juventus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.95). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lecce are missing: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus are without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lecce vs Juventus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.80 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| Market average | 6.42 | 4.15 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 5.99 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.85 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.97 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.04 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.89 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 16:39. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
- H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
- Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lecce vs Juventus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lecce vs Juventus: who is missing
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lecce vs Juventus: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lecce
Home and away
Lecce vs Juventus: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LecceLLLWLJuventusWLWLDLecce vs Juventus: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lecce vs Juventus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 2.5 goals (1.94).
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Our probabilities: Lecce to win 15%, a draw 23%, Juventus to win 62%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.
Who will be missing?
Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.93).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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