Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa meet Juventus on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), refereed by Daniele Doveri. Juventus (53%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Genoa vs Juventus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Genoa are 11th with 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), whereas Juventus are 7th with 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Genoa have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Juventus average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–13; Juventus: 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–8.
- Head to head. In their 33 meetings so far, Genoa have 5 wins, Juventus have 22 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–56.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 0–1 (16.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 33; Genoa 5 wins, 6 draws, Juventus 22 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Genoa 6–13, Juventus 11–8.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 39%.
- Absent: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Genoa are missing: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus are without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 5.11 | 3.39 | 1.83 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 65.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.44 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.57 | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.75 | 4.63 | 20.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 3.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 0–1 Juventus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 2W 1D 5L (6:13), Juventus 4W 2D 2L (11:8).
- H2H: 33 matches: Genoa 5W 6D 22L, goals 26–56.
- Absences: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Genoa vs Juventus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genoa vs Juventus: who is missing
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Ehizibuemuscle injury · doubtful
- D. Sowthigh injury · doubtful
- S. Wiafemuscle injury · doubtful
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Juventus: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWJuventusWLWLDGenoa vs Juventus: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genoa vs Juventus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Genoa vs Juventus?
Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 1.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
Our probabilities: Genoa to win 19%, a draw 28%, Juventus to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 39% (odds 2.49); under 2.5 goals is at 61% (odds 1.57).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 42% probability (odds 2.20).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (16.1%); after that come 1–1 (12.0%) and 0–2 (11.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.