Bet with MINO CASINO →Atalanta v Inter is on 22 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). We think Inter (57%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Atalanta vs Inter: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Atalanta are 13th with 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), whereas Inter are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.97), and our probability for it is 50%. We estimate both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best available odds 1.97). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Atalanta are missing: no absences. Inter are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Inter: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.62 | 4.68 | 1.71 |
| Market average | 4.53 | 4.46 | 1.67 |
| Lowest odds | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 3.05 | 30.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.81 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Absences: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Atalanta vs Inter: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Inter: who is missing
Atalanta
- No reported absences
Inter
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Inter: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Atalanta vs Inter: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Atalanta vs Inter?
Atalanta +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 3.5 goals (1.97).
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
Our probabilities: Atalanta to win 21%, a draw 22%, Inter to win 57%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: no absences. Inter: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 66% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.5%); after that come 1–1 (8.6%) and 0–2 (7.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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