Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Venezia v Inter is on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice); Luca J. Pairetto takes charge. We think Inter (69%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Venezia vs Inter: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Venezia are 20th with 3 points after 10 matches (1W 0D 9L), whereas Inter are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Venezia have scored 0.8 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Inter average 2.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Venezia: 1W 0D 7L, goals 6–17; Inter: 7W 1D 0L, goals 23–10.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Venezia have 0 wins, Inter have 6 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–13.
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Venezia 0 wins, 0 draws, Inter 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Venezia 6–17, Inter 23–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Venezia 4, Inter 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Venezia are missing: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Inter are without: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Venezia vs Inter: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 8.05 | 5.70 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.39 | 5.27 | 1.38 |
| Lowest odds | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.84 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.06 | 46.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.22 | 41.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 16:28. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Venezia 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Venezia 20th (3 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Venezia 1W 0D 7L (6:17), Inter 7W 1D 0L (23:10).
- H2H: 6 matches: Venezia 0W 0D 6L, goals 2–13.
- Absences: Venezia 4, Inter 5.
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Venezia vs Inter: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Venezia vs Inter: who is missing
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- J. Stonesinjury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Venezia vs Inter: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Venezia
Home and away
Venezia vs Inter: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VeneziaLLLWLInterLWWWWVenezia vs Inter: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Venezia vs Inter: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Venezia vs Inter?
Our result tip is Inter to win (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Inter (X2).
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
Our probabilities: Venezia to win 13%, a draw 18%, Inter to win 69%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice. Referee: Luca J. Pairetto.
Who will be missing?
Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.5%); after that come 0–2 (9.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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