Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Inter meet Fiorentina on 25 October 2026 · 11:30 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), refereed by Maurizio Mariani. Inter (71%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Inter vs Fiorentina: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.40 | 5.87 | 8.57 |
| Market average | 1.35 | 5.50 | 7.90 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.89 | 32.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.03 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 08:58. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Fiorentina, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 2nd (25 points), Fiorentina 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Inter 6W 1D 0L (21:9), Fiorentina 1W 1D 5L (8:17).
- H2H: 36 matches: Inter 21W 7D 8L, goals 67–50.
- Absences: Inter 6, Fiorentina 4.
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Inter vs Fiorentina: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Inter vs Fiorentina: who is missing
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Spinaccenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Stonesinjury · will miss the match
Fiorentina
- A. Attaabsence · will miss the match
- F. Parisiknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Ranieriabsence · will miss the match
- R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Inter vs Fiorentina: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Inter
Home and away
Inter vs Fiorentina: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Inter are 2nd with 25 points after 10 matches (8W 1D 1L), whereas Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Inter have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Fiorentina average 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Inter: 6W 1D 0L, goals 21–9; Fiorentina: 1W 1D 5L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. In their 36 meetings so far, Inter have 21 wins, Fiorentina have 8 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 67–50.
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 36; Inter 21 wins, 7 draws, Fiorentina 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Inter 21–9, Fiorentina 8–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Inter 6, Fiorentina 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Inter are missing: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, M. Spinacce, J. Stones. Fiorentina are without: A. Atta, F. Parisi, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Inter vs Fiorentina: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
InterLWWWWFiorentinaWDLLLInter vs Fiorentina: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Inter vs Fiorentina: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Inter vs Fiorentina?
Our result tip is Inter to win (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Inter or draw (1X).
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
Our probabilities: Inter to win 71%, a draw 17%, Fiorentina to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 11:30, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Maurizio Mariani.
Who will be missing?
Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, M. Spinacce, J. Stones. Fiorentina: A. Atta, F. Parisi, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.04).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (9.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 3–0 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.