Bet with MINO CASINO →Parma are at home to Bologna on 7 November 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). Our favourites are Bologna (51%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Parma vs Bologna: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Parma are 15th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Bologna are 9th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Parma have scored 0.6 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Bologna average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Parma: 1W 2D 6L, goals 5–15; Bologna: 4W 2D 4L, goals 14–13.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, Parma have 4 wins, Bologna have 6 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–25.
What to expect
Bologna should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; Parma 4 wins, 9 draws, Bologna 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Parma 5–15, Bologna 14–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Absent: Parma 0, Bologna 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Parma are missing: no absences. Bologna are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Parma vs Bologna: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.63 | 3.68 | 1.89 |
| Market average | 4.40 | 3.48 | 1.84 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.09 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 69.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.14 | 44.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.71 | 55.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.88 | 24.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Parma 0–1 Bologna, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Parma 1W 2D 6L (5:15), Bologna 4W 2D 4L (14:13).
- H2H: 19 matches: Parma 4W 9D 6L, goals 16–25.
- Absences: Parma 0, Bologna 0.
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Parma vs Bologna: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Parma vs Bologna: who is missing
Parma
- No reported absences
Bologna
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Parma vs Bologna: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Parma vs Bologna: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ParmaWDLLLBolognaWWWLWParma vs Bologna: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Parma vs Bologna: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Parma vs Bologna?
Under 2.5 goals (1.79); Bologna to win (1.89).
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
Our probabilities: Parma to win 22%, a draw 27%, Bologna to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
Who will be missing?
Parma: no absences. Bologna: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.20); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.4%); after that come 1–1 (12.0%) and 0–2 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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