Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atalanta meet Parma on 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo), refereed by Valerio Crezzini. Atalanta (65%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Atalanta vs Parma: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.52 | 5.08 | 6.70 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.88 | 6.27 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.47 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.18 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.24 | 41.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 2–1 Parma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Parma 15th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Atalanta 3W 2D 4L (16:17), Parma 1W 2D 6L (5:15).
- H2H: 19 matches: Atalanta 11W 3D 5L, goals 41–26.
- Absences: Atalanta 9, Parma 2.
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Atalanta vs Parma: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Parma: who is missing
Atalanta
- R. Bellanovathigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Gaetanomuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Hienmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Kessiecalf injury · will miss the match
- S. Kolasinacthigh injury · will miss the match
- O. Kossounouthigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Kristensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Raspadorithigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Scamaccathigh injury · will miss the match
Parma
- A. Bernabenot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Parma: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Parma: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Atalanta are 13th with 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), whereas Parma are 15th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Atalanta have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Parma average 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atalanta: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–17; Parma: 1W 2D 6L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, Atalanta have 11 wins, Parma have 5 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–26.
What to expect
Atalanta should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; Atalanta 11 wins, 3 draws, Parma 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Atalanta 16–17, Parma 5–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Atalanta 9, Parma 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Atalanta are missing: R. Bellanova, G. Gaetano, I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, T. Kristensen, G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca. Parma are without: A. Bernabe, L. Valenti. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Parma: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AtalantaLDDLWParmaWDLLLAtalanta vs Parma: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Atalanta vs Parma: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Atalanta vs Parma?
Our result tip is Atalanta to win (odds 1.52), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Atalanta or draw (1X).
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
Our probabilities: Atalanta to win 65%, a draw 20%, Parma to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
2 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo. Referee: Valerio Crezzini.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: R. Bellanova, G. Gaetano, I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, T. Kristensen, G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca. Parma: A. Bernabe, L. Valenti. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 2–0 (9.8%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.