Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk is on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan); Harm Osmers takes charge. We think Inter (77%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Inter are 20th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Shakhtar Donetsk are 17th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Inter have 3 wins, Shakhtar Donetsk have 0 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–0.
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.27, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.71), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Inter 3 wins, 3 draws, Shakhtar Donetsk 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.71). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Inter are missing: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.27 | 7.01 | 11.60 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.54 | 10.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.16 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.71 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 45.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 20th (3 points), Shakhtar Donetsk 17th (4 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Inter 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–0.
- Absences: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: who is missing
Inter
- No reported absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
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Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our result tip is Inter to win (odds 1.27), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.71). The safer pick is Inter or draw (1X).
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our probabilities: Inter to win 77%, a draw 15%, Shakhtar Donetsk to win 9%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Who will be missing?
Inter: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.34); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.71).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 3–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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