Bet with MINO CASINO →Torino v Lecce is on 7 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin). We think Torino (52%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Torino vs Lecce: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Torino are 10th with 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), whereas Lecce are 14th with 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Torino have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Lecce average 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Torino: 4W 1D 5L, goals 14–16; Lecce: 3W 0D 7L, goals 11–21.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Torino have 6 wins, Lecce have 4 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–10.
What to expect
Torino should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Torino 6 wins, 1 draw, Lecce 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Torino 14–16, Lecce 11–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Torino 1, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Torino are missing: P. Pellegri. Lecce are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Torino vs Lecce: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.87 | 3.84 | 4.58 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.59 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.25 | 3.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.30 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.42 | 3.27 | 28.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 4W 1D 5L (14:16), Lecce 3W 0D 7L (11:21).
- H2H: 11 matches: Torino 6W 1D 4L, goals 12–10.
- Absences: Torino 1, Lecce 0.
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Torino vs Lecce: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Torino vs Lecce: who is missing
Torino
- P. Pellegriabsence · will miss the match
Lecce
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Torino vs Lecce: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Torino vs Lecce: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
TorinoLLWWWLecceLLLWLTorino vs Lecce: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Torino vs Lecce: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Torino vs Lecce?
Lecce +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.87).
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
Our probabilities: Torino to win 52%, a draw 26%, Lecce to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin.
Who will be missing?
Torino: P. Pellegri. Lecce: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.01); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 1–0 (11.7%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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