Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bologna are at home to Inter on 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), with Daniele Doveri, Italy as the referee. Our favourites are Inter (61%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bologna vs Inter: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bologna are 9th with 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), whereas Inter are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Bologna 0, Inter 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bologna are missing: no absences. Inter are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bologna vs Inter: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.06 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| Market average | 5.80 | 4.21 | 1.57 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.31 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.47 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:27. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bologna 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bologna 9th (14 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Absences: Bologna 0, Inter 0.
Who will win Bologna vs Inter?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bologna vs Inter: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Bologna vs Inter: who is missing
Bologna
- No reported absences
Inter
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bologna vs Inter: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Bologna vs Inter: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bologna vs Inter?
Inter to win (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Bologna vs Inter?
Our probabilities: Bologna to win 17%, a draw 23%, Inter to win 61%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Bologna: no absences. Inter: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (10.0%); after that come 0–2 (10.0%) and 1–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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