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Serie A · Matchweek 7 · 17 October 2026 · 17:00

Bologna vs Inter: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Serie A

WWWLW
1–3
LWWWW
1Bologna6.06
XDraw4.33
2Inter1.62

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 13:27

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bologna are at home to Inter on 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), with Daniele Doveri, Italy as the referee. Our favourites are Inter (61%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Bologna vs Inter: tip and prediction
Result
Inter to win
1.62
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.55
Combo
Inter plus over 2.5 goals
2.38
42% · combo fair price
61%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Inter (X2) – 83% probability, top odds 1.16.

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Bologna vs Inter: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bologna are 9th with 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), whereas Inter are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).

What to expect

Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Absent: Bologna 0, Inter 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bologna are missing: no absences. Inter are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Bologna vs Inter: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds6.064.331.62
Market average5.804.211.57
Lowest odds5.004.001.53
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6358.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.3141.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.582.4738.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.6755.9%
BTTS – no2.152.1144.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:27. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bologna 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bologna 9th (14 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
  • Absences: Bologna 0, Inter 0.

Who will win Bologna vs Inter?

Bologna17%
Draw23%
Inter61%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bologna vs Inter: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Inter (X2)83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.9% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Inter to win60.8% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.62
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.68
Possible
Both sides to score: yes55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: no44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.15
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.58
Outsider
Draw22.7% · fair odds 4.41 · best 4.33
Outsider
Bologna to win16.5% · fair odds 6.05 · best 6.06
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.3%
Cardsline 2.5 cards
Over 1.63 · Under 2.20
probability of over 57.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 210.0%
0 : 210.0%
1 : 19.7%
0 : 19.7%
1 : 36.8%
0 : 36.8%

Bologna vs Inter: who is missing

Bologna

  • No reported absences

Inter

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bologna vs Inter: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Bologna

31 OctWBologna 2–1 Monza
28 OctWAC Milan 2–4 Bologna
24 OctWCagliari 0–2 Bologna
17 OctLBologna 1–3 Inter
11 OctWLecce 1–2 Bologna

Inter

31 OctLAC Milan 3–1 Inter
28 OctWVenezia 0–2 Inter
25 OctWInter 2–1 Fiorentina
21 OctWInter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
17 OctWBologna 1–3 Inter

Home and away

Bologna at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 6–8
Inter away5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–6

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Bologna vs Inter: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bologna vs Inter?

Inter to win (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Bologna vs Inter?

Our probabilities: Bologna to win 17%, a draw 23%, Inter to win 61%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Bologna: no absences. Inter: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–2 (10.0%); after that come 0–2 (10.0%) and 1–1 (9.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.