Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Milan meet Inter on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), refereed by Marco Guida. Inter (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
AC Milan vs Inter: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.70 | 3.80 | 2.11 |
| Market average | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.31 | 1.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.76 | 34.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 16:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Milan 1–1 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 5th (21 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 5W 3D 1L (18:11), Inter 8W 1D 0L (25:10).
- H2H: 44 matches: AC Milan 14W 11D 19L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AC Milan vs Inter: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Milan vs Inter: who is missing
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Tomorimuscle injury · will miss the match
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- J. Stonesmuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Inter: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
AC Milan vs Inter: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AC Milan are 5th with 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), whereas Inter are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. AC Milan have scored 2.0 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Inter average 2.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 5W 3D 1L, goals 18–11; Inter: 8W 1D 0L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. In their 44 meetings so far, AC Milan have 14 wins, Inter have 19 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 50–61.
What to expect
Inter should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 44; AC Milan 14 wins, 11 draws, Inter 19 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AC Milan 18–11, Inter 25–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AC Milan are missing: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Inter are without: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Inter: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AC MilanWLWWDInterLWWWWAC Milan vs Inter: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
AC Milan vs Inter: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AC Milan vs Inter?
Our result tip is Inter to win (odds 2.11), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Inter (X2).
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
Our probabilities: AC Milan to win 27%, a draw 27%, Inter to win 47%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Marco Guida.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.