Bet with MINO CASINO →AS Roma v Sassuolo is on 7 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome). We think AS Roma (72%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd with 24 points after 10 matches (7W 3D 0L), whereas Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. AS Roma have scored 2.8 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Sassuolo average 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AS Roma: 7W 3D 0L, goals 28–10; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 14–22.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, AS Roma have 13 wins, Sassuolo have 2 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 45–26.
What to expect
AS Roma should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; AS Roma 13 wins, 9 draws, Sassuolo 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AS Roma 28–10, Sassuolo 14–22.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: AS Roma 0, Sassuolo 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AS Roma are missing: no absences. Sassuolo are without: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.35 | 6.25 | 9.18 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.78 | 8.45 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 5.22 | 6.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.36 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.02 | 31.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.96 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AS Roma 7W 3D 0L (28:10), Sassuolo 2W 2D 5L (14:22).
- H2H: 24 matches: AS Roma 13W 9D 2L, goals 45–26.
- Absences: AS Roma 0, Sassuolo 5.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: who is missing
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- I. Konébroken leg · will miss the match
- E. Pieragnoloabsence · will miss the match
- Fali Candéabsence · will miss the match
- D. Bolocaabsence · will miss the match
- Y. Pazabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AS RomaWWDWDSassuoloLLLLDAS Roma vs Sassuolo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our result tip is AS Roma to win (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is AS Roma or draw (1X).
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our probabilities: AS Roma to win 72%, a draw 16%, Sassuolo to win 11%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: no absences. Sassuolo: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.38); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (9.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.2%) and 3–0 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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