Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
York are at home to Port Vale on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at York Community Stadium (York), with D. Webb as the referee. Our favourites are York (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
York vs Port Vale: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, York are 7th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas Port Vale are 18th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, York have 1 win, Port Vale have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–4.
What to expect
York should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; York 1 win, 1 draw, Port Vale 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
York are missing: no absences. Port Vale are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
York vs Port Vale: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.83 |
| Market average | 1.99 | 3.48 | 3.62 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.07 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: York 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: York 7th (20 points), Port Vale 18th (15 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: York 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
- Absences: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
York vs Port Vale: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
York vs Port Vale: who is missing
York
- No reported absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
York vs Port Vale: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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York vs Port Vale: questions and answers
What is the best tip for York vs Port Vale?
Our result tip is York to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is York or draw (1X).
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
Our probabilities: York to win 47%, a draw 27%, Port Vale to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Webb.
Who will be missing?
York: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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