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League Two · Matchweek 9 · 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Northampton vs Oldham: tip, odds and prediction – 3 November 2026, League Two

VS
LDLWD
1Northampton2.39
XDraw3.30
2Oldham3.27

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:20

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Northampton v Oldham is on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Northampton vs Oldham: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Northampton or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.73
69%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Northampton vs Oldham: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.393.303.27
Market average2.313.193.04
Lowest odds2.262.962.69
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.381.3568.8%
Over 2.5 goals2.152.1044.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.731.6955.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.823.7125.0%
BTTS – yes1.871.8350.6%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Oldham, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Northampton 20th (14 points), Oldham 21st (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Northampton 3W 5D 4L (9:9), Oldham 3W 3D 7L (14:19).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Northampton 4W 3D 3L, goals 18–18.
  • Absences: Northampton 0, Oldham 0.

Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?

Northampton40%
Draw29%
Oldham31%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Northampton vs Oldham: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Northampton or draw (1X)69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.4% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.73
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.6% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.15
Outsider
Northampton to win40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.39
Outsider
Oldham to win30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.27
Outsider
Draw29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.82
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 113.0%
1 : 011.8%
0 : 110.0%
0 : 09.1%
2 : 18.4%
2 : 07.7%

Northampton vs Oldham: who is missing

Northampton

  • No reported absences

Oldham

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Northampton vs Oldham: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Northampton

31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctLNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctWGrimsby 0–2 Northampton
10 OctDYork 1–1 Northampton

Oldham

31 OctLOldham 0–1 Crawley Town
24 OctDBarnet 1–1 Oldham
20 OctLWalsall 3–0 Oldham
17 OctWOldham 4–1 Cheltenham
10 OctDOldham 0–0 Accrington ST

Home and away

Northampton at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 4–3
Oldham away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 3–11

Northampton vs Oldham: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Northampton are 20th with 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), whereas Oldham are 21st with 12 points (3W 3D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Northampton have scored 0.8 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Oldham average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Northampton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 9–9; Oldham: 3W 3D 7L, goals 14–19.
  4. Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Northampton have 4 wins, Oldham have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–18.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 10; Northampton 4 wins, 3 draws, Oldham 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Northampton 9–9, Oldham 14–19.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
  5. Absent: Northampton 0, Oldham 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Northampton are missing: no absences. Oldham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Northampton vs Oldham: team stats compared

NorthamptonOldham
62%Form38%
55%Attack45%
67%Defence33%
62%Head to head38%
54%Goals46%
62.8%Overall37.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

NorthamptonDWLWD
OldhamLDLWD

Northampton vs Oldham: head to head

All matches
4Northampton
3Draws
3Oldham
1/11/25 · Oldham 3–1 Northampton
15/4/22 · Oldham 0–2 Northampton
23/11/21 · Northampton 2–1 Oldham
2/11/19 · Oldham 2–2 Northampton
4/5/19 · Oldham 2–5 Northampton
27/10/18 · Northampton 2–1 Oldham

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Northampton vs Oldham: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Northampton vs Oldham?

Our result tip is Northampton or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Northampton or draw (1X).

Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?

Our probabilities: Northampton to win 40%, a draw 29%, Oldham to win 31%.

What time and where is kick-off?

3 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton.

Who will be missing?

Northampton: no absences. Oldham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.15); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.73).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.8%) and 0–1 (10.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Exeter City vs Cheltenham 14 NovRotherham vs Crawley Town 14 NovBristol Rovers vs Chesterfield 14 NovRochdale vs York 14 NovWalsall vs Barnet 14 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.