Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Gillingham are at home to Port Vale on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Gillingham are 8th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas Port Vale are 18th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Gillingham are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Absent: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Gillingham are missing: no absences. Port Vale are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.29 |
| Market average | 3.27 | 3.21 | 2.17 |
| Lowest odds | 3.01 | 3.04 | 2.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.67 | 56.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.84 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Port Vale 18th (15 points).
- Absences: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Gillingham vs Port Vale: who is missing
Gillingham
- No reported absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Gillingham
Home and away
Returns calculator
Gillingham vs Port Vale: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Port Vale -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our probabilities: Gillingham to win 28%, a draw 29%, Port Vale to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.
Who will be missing?
Gillingham: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.20); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.70).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.9%); after that come 0–1 (12.2%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.