Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
York meet Accrington ST on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at York Community Stadium (York), refereed by D. Brown. York (64%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
York vs Accrington ST: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, York are 7th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
What to expect
York should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: York 0, Accrington ST 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
York are missing: no absences. Accrington ST are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
York vs Accrington ST: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.77 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.54 | 6.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 3.42 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.29 | 40.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.38 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.99 | 46.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: York 2–0 Accrington ST, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: York 7th (20 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
- Absences: York 0, Accrington ST 0.
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
York vs Accrington ST: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
York vs Accrington ST: who is missing
York
- No reported absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
York vs Accrington ST: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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York vs Accrington ST: questions and answers
What is the best tip for York vs Accrington ST?
Our result tip is York to win (odds 1.77), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is York or draw (1X).
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
Our probabilities: York to win 64%, a draw 21%, Accrington ST to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Brown.
Who will be missing?
York: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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