Bet with MINO CASINO →Rotherham meet Crawley Town on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham). Rotherham (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd with 12 points after 14 matches (2W 6D 6L), whereas Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Rotherham have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Crawley Town average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rotherham: 2W 6D 6L, goals 18–25; Crawley Town: 2W 3D 7L, goals 13–21.
What to expect
Rotherham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rotherham 18–25, Crawley Town 13–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Rotherham 0, Crawley Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rotherham are missing: no absences. Crawley Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.53 | 3.42 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.21 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.46 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.34 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rotherham 1–1 Crawley Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rotherham 22nd (12 points), Crawley Town 24th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Rotherham 2W 6D 6L (18:25), Crawley Town 2W 3D 7L (13:21).
- Absences: Rotherham 0, Crawley Town 0.
Who will win Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: who is missing
Rotherham
- No reported absences
Crawley Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rotherham
Home and away
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RotherhamLDDLLCrawley TownWDLLDReturns calculator
Rotherham vs Crawley Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
Our result tip is Rotherham to win (odds 2.00), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Rotherham or draw (1X).
Who will win Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
Our probabilities: Rotherham to win 47%, a draw 26%, Crawley Town to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham.
Who will be missing?
Rotherham: no absences. Crawley Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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