Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Grimsby are at home to York on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Blundell Park (Grimsby), with A. Jackson as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Grimsby vs York: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Grimsby are 6th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas York are 7th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Grimsby have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; York average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Grimsby: 4W 5D 4L, goals 19–16; York: 5W 5D 3L, goals 22–16.
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Grimsby have 1 win, York have 4 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–10.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Grimsby 1 win, 0 draws, York 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Grimsby 19–16, York 22–16.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Grimsby are missing: no absences. York are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Grimsby vs York: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.89 | 2.85 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.65 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.17 | 3.21 | 2.51 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.34 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Grimsby 1–1 York, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Grimsby 6th (20 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Grimsby 4W 5D 4L (19:16), York 5W 5D 3L (22:16).
- H2H: 5 matches: Grimsby 1W 0D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Grimsby vs York: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Grimsby vs York: who is missing
Grimsby
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Grimsby vs York: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Grimsby
Home and away
Grimsby vs York: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GrimsbyWWDLLYorkLLWDDGrimsby vs York: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Grimsby vs York: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Grimsby vs York?
York +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
Our probabilities: Grimsby to win 40%, a draw 25%, York to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Blundell Park, Grimsby. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Grimsby: no absences. York: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.