Bet with MINO CASINO →Bristol Rovers are at home to Chesterfield on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Memorial Stadium (Bristol). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.08 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.63 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Chesterfield, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Chesterfield 10th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Bristol Rovers 5W 1D 8L (17:23), Chesterfield 5W 4D 5L (24:21).
- Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Chesterfield 0.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: who is missing
Bristol Rovers
- No reported absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Bristol Rovers
Home and away
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points after 14 matches (5W 1D 8L), whereas Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Bristol Rovers have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Chesterfield average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bristol Rovers: 5W 1D 8L, goals 17–23; Chesterfield: 5W 4D 5L, goals 24–21.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bristol Rovers 17–23, Chesterfield 24–21.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Bristol Rovers 0, Chesterfield 0.
Alternative tip: Bristol Rovers or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bristol Rovers are missing: no absences. Chesterfield are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bristol RoversLDLLLChesterfieldLWDLDReturns calculator
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Our result tip is Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) (odds 1.53), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.60). The safer pick is Bristol Rovers or draw (1X).
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Our probabilities: Bristol Rovers to win 36%, a draw 27%, Chesterfield to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Memorial Stadium, Bristol.
Who will be missing?
Bristol Rovers: no absences. Chesterfield: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (8.5%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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