Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet are at home to York on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), with B. Toner as the referee. Our favourites are Barnet (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Barnet vs York: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Barnet are 2nd with 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), whereas York are 7th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Barnet have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; York average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Barnet: 6W 4D 1L, goals 24–16; York: 5W 5D 2L, goals 21–13.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Barnet have 6 wins, York have 4 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–19.
What to expect
Barnet should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Barnet 6 wins, 1 draw, York 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Barnet 24–16, York 21–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Barnet 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Barnet are missing: no absences. York are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Barnet vs York: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.13 | 3.86 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.72 | 3.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.47 | 2.99 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.25 | 41.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Barnet 1–1 York, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Barnet 6W 4D 1L (24:16), York 5W 5D 2L (21:13).
- H2H: 11 matches: Barnet 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–19.
- Absences: Barnet 0, York 0.
Who will win Barnet vs York?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Barnet vs York: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Barnet vs York: who is missing
Barnet
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Barnet vs York: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Barnet
Home and away
Barnet vs York: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BarnetDWDLWYorkLLWDDBarnet vs York: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Barnet vs York: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Barnet vs York?
Our result tip is Barnet to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Barnet or draw (1X).
Who will win Barnet vs York?
Our probabilities: Barnet to win 46%, a draw 25%, York to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Toner.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. York: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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