Bet with MINO CASINO →Exeter City meet Cheltenham on 14 November 2026 · 12:30 at St James Park (Exeter). Exeter City (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Exeter City are 12th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Cheltenham are 5th with 21 points (6W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Exeter City have scored 0.8 and conceded 0.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Cheltenham average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Exeter City: 5W 4D 5L, goals 11–9; Cheltenham: 6W 3D 5L, goals 23–25.
What to expect
Exeter City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Exeter City 11–9, Cheltenham 23–25.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Exeter City 0, Cheltenham 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Exeter City are missing: no absences. Cheltenham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.37 | 3.45 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 71.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.83 | 51.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.18 | 29.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.75 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Cheltenham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Cheltenham 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Exeter City 5W 4D 5L (11:9), Cheltenham 6W 3D 5L (23:25).
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Cheltenham 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: who is missing
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Exeter City
Home and away
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Exeter CityLWWDWCheltenhamLWWLLReturns calculator
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
Our result tip is Exeter City to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Exeter City or draw (1X).
Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
Our probabilities: Exeter City to win 46%, a draw 27%, Cheltenham to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at St James Park, Exeter.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Cheltenham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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