Bet with MINO CASINO →Rochdale meet York on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Spotland Stadium (Rochdale). York (51%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rochdale vs York: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rochdale are 19th with 15 points after 14 matches (4W 3D 7L), whereas York are 7th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Rochdale have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; York average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rochdale: 4W 3D 7L, goals 17–26; York: 5W 5D 4L, goals 24–21.
What to expect
York should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rochdale 17–26, York 24–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Rochdale 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rochdale are missing: no absences. York are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rochdale vs York: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.80 | 3.95 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 3.69 | 3.79 | 1.82 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.56 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 40.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.36 | 39.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rochdale 1–1 York, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rochdale 19th (15 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Rochdale 4W 3D 7L (17:26), York 5W 5D 4L (24:21).
- Absences: Rochdale 0, York 0.
Who will win Rochdale vs York?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rochdale vs York: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Rochdale vs York: who is missing
Rochdale
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rochdale vs York: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rochdale
Home and away
Rochdale vs York: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RochdaleLLDLDYorkLLWDDReturns calculator
Rochdale vs York: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rochdale vs York?
Our result tip is York to win (odds 1.85), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or York (X2).
Who will win Rochdale vs York?
Our probabilities: Rochdale to win 25%, a draw 24%, York to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Spotland Stadium, Rochdale.
Who will be missing?
Rochdale: no absences. York: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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