Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Port Vale are at home to Rochdale on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Vale Park (Stoke-On-Trent), with E. Heaslip as the referee. Our favourites are Port Vale (57%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Port Vale are 18th with 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L), whereas Rochdale are 19th with 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Port Vale have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Rochdale average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Port Vale: 3W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Rochdale: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–22.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Port Vale have 7 wins, Rochdale have 5 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–21.
What to expect
Port Vale should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Port Vale 7 wins, 3 draws, Rochdale 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Port Vale 6–12, Rochdale 15–22.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Port Vale are missing: no absences. Rochdale are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.66 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.13 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.26 | 4.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Port Vale 18th (15 points), Rochdale 19th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Port Vale 3W 3D 5L (6:12), Rochdale 4W 3D 6L (15:22).
- H2H: 15 matches: Port Vale 7W 3D 5L, goals 24–21.
- Absences: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Port Vale vs Rochdale: who is missing
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Port Vale
Home and away
Port Vale vs Rochdale: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Port ValeWLDWWRochdaleLLDLDPort Vale vs Rochdale: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Port Vale vs Rochdale: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our result tip is Port Vale to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88). The safer pick is Port Vale or draw (1X).
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our probabilities: Port Vale to win 57%, a draw 25%, Rochdale to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: E. Heaslip.
Who will be missing?
Port Vale: no absences. Rochdale: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.93).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.4%); after that come 1–1 (11.1%) and 2–0 (10.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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