Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rochdale v Accrington ST is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Spotland Stadium (Rochdale); R. Watkins takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.91 | 3.47 | 2.44 |
| Market average | 2.86 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.27 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.85 | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rochdale 1–1 Accrington ST, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rochdale 19th (15 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
- H2H: 12 matches: Rochdale 8W 1D 3L, goals 20–20.
- Absences: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: who is missing
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rochdale
Home and away
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rochdale are 19th with 15 points after 14 matches (4W 3D 7L), whereas Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Rochdale have 8 wins, Accrington ST have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Rochdale 8 wins, 1 draw, Accrington ST 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Accrington ST (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (probability 67%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rochdale are missing: no absences. Accrington ST are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: head to head
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Rochdale vs Accrington ST: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our result tip is Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Draw or Accrington ST (X2).
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our probabilities: Rochdale to win 33%, a draw 28%, Accrington ST to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Spotland Stadium, Rochdale. Referee: R. Watkins.
Who will be missing?
Rochdale: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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