Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Accrington ST meet Northampton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Crown Ground (Accrington). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points after 14 matches (4W 7D 3L), whereas Northampton are 20th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Accrington ST have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Northampton average 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Accrington ST: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–16; Northampton: 3W 4D 4L, goals 8–8.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Accrington ST have 3 wins, Northampton have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–19.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Accrington ST 3 wins, 4 draws, Northampton 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Accrington ST 22–16, Northampton 8–8.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Absent: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Accrington ST are missing: no absences. Northampton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.16 | 3.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.02 | 2.95 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.17 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.99 | 23.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Accrington ST 1–1 Northampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Accrington ST 9th (19 points), Northampton 20th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Accrington ST 4W 6D 3L (22:16), Northampton 3W 4D 4L (8:8).
- H2H: 12 matches: Accrington ST 3W 4D 5L, goals 13–19.
- Absences: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Accrington ST vs Northampton: who is missing
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Accrington ST
Home and away
Accrington ST vs Northampton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Accrington STDWDWDNorthamptonDWLWDAccrington ST vs Northampton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Accrington ST vs Northampton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Our result tip is Accrington ST or draw (1X) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Accrington ST or draw (1X).
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Our probabilities: Accrington ST to win 42%, a draw 29%, Northampton to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
Who will be missing?
Accrington ST: no absences. Northampton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.26); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.67).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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