Bet with MINO CASINO →Villarreal are at home to Getafe on 8 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal). Our favourites are Villarreal (65%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Villarreal vs Getafe: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Villarreal are 9th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Getafe are 13th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Villarreal have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Getafe average 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 3W 3D 5L, goals 15–15; Getafe: 3W 3D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. In their 28 meetings so far, Villarreal have 14 wins, Getafe have 7 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–27.
What to expect
Villarreal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 28; Villarreal 14 wins, 7 draws, Getafe 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Villarreal 15–15, Getafe 8–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Villarreal 0, Getafe 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Villarreal are missing: no absences. Getafe are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Getafe: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.50 | 4.74 | 7.42 |
| Market average | 1.44 | 4.45 | 6.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.26 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.01 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.05 | 2.95 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.97 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–0 Getafe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 9th (12 points), Getafe 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 3W 3D 5L (15:15), Getafe 3W 3D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 28 matches: Villarreal 14W 7D 7L, goals 33–27.
- Absences: Villarreal 0, Getafe 0.
Who will win Villarreal vs Getafe?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Villarreal vs Getafe: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Villarreal vs Getafe: who is missing
Villarreal
- No reported absences
Getafe
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Getafe: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Getafe: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWDLWGetafeWLDLWVillarreal vs Getafe: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Villarreal vs Getafe: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Villarreal vs Getafe?
Our result tip is Villarreal to win (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Villarreal or draw (1X).
Who will win Villarreal vs Getafe?
Our probabilities: Villarreal to win 65%, a draw 21%, Getafe to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: no absences. Getafe: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.87); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.09).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.2%); after that come 1–0 (12.2%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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