Bet with MINO CASINO →Málaga meet Racing Santander on 7 November 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Málaga vs Racing Santander: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Málaga are 20th with 5 points after 11 matches (0W 5D 6L), whereas Racing Santander are 16th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Málaga have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Racing Santander average 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Málaga: 0W 5D 6L, goals 8–21; Racing Santander: 3W 2D 6L, goals 15–29.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Málaga have 6 wins, Racing Santander have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–10.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Racing Santander are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Málaga 6 wins, 3 draws, Racing Santander 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Málaga 8–21, Racing Santander 15–29.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Málaga 0, Racing Santander 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Málaga are missing: no absences. Racing Santander are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Málaga vs Racing Santander: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.48 | 3.72 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.57 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.29 | 3.28 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.66 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.24 | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.58 | 36.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.40 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Málaga 1–1 Racing Santander, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Málaga 20th (5 points), Racing Santander 16th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Málaga 0W 5D 6L (8:21), Racing Santander 3W 2D 6L (15:29).
- H2H: 12 matches: Málaga 6W 3D 3L, goals 17–10.
- Absences: Málaga 0, Racing Santander 0.
Who will win Málaga vs Racing Santander?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Málaga vs Racing Santander: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Málaga vs Racing Santander: who is missing
Málaga
- No reported absences
Racing Santander
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Málaga vs Racing Santander: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Málaga
Home and away
Málaga vs Racing Santander: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MálagaLDLDLRacing SantanderLWLDLMálaga vs Racing Santander: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Málaga vs Racing Santander: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Málaga vs Racing Santander?
Over 2.5 goals (1.73); Málaga or draw (1X) (1.46).
Who will win Málaga vs Racing Santander?
Our probabilities: Málaga to win 40%, a draw 26%, Racing Santander to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga.
Who will be missing?
Málaga: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.73); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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