Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Getafe are at home to Rayo Vallecano on 19 October 2026 · 20:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), with Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.13 | 3.09 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 2.91 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.59 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.59 | 59.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.97 | 2.78 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.75 | 16.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Rayo Vallecano, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: who is missing
Getafe
- No reported absences
Rayo Vallecano
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Getafe are 13th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Rayo Vallecano are 12th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 34%.
- Absent: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 1.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Getafe are missing: no absences. Rayo Vallecano are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our result tip is Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2).
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our probabilities: Getafe to win 32%, a draw 33%, Rayo Vallecano to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
19 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. Rayo Vallecano: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 34% (odds 2.97); under 2.5 goals is at 66% (odds 1.47).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 43% probability (odds 2.20).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.5%); after that come 1–1 (13.5%) and 1–0 (12.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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