Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Athletic Club meet Getafe on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at San Mamés Stadium (Bilbao), refereed by Francisco José Hernández Maeso. Athletic Club (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.65 | 4.21 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 3.98 | 6.26 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.81 | 24.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Athletic Club 1–0 Getafe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Athletic Club 7th (15 points), Getafe 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Athletic Club 2W 3D 3L (8:9), Getafe 2W 3D 4L (5:11).
- H2H: 31 matches: Athletic Club 11W 14D 6L, goals 42–25.
- Absences: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Athletic Club vs Getafe: who is missing
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluzknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Guruzetaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Laportered card · will miss the match
- O. Sancetmuscle injury · will miss the match
Getafe
- Djenered card · will miss the match
- Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Mangalamuscle injury · will miss the match
- Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Athletic Club
Home and away
Athletic Club vs Getafe: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Getafe are 13th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Athletic Club have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Getafe average 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Athletic Club: 2W 3D 3L, goals 8–9; Getafe: 2W 3D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Head to head. In their 31 meetings so far, Athletic Club have 11 wins, Getafe have 6 wins and 14 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 42–25.
What to expect
Athletic Club should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (14.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 31; Athletic Club 11 wins, 14 draws, Getafe 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Athletic Club 8–9, Getafe 5–11.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 56%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Athletic Club are missing: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe are without: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Athletic ClubWWLDDGetafeWLDLWAthletic Club vs Getafe: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Athletic Club vs Getafe: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Our result tip is Athletic Club to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Athletic Club or draw (1X).
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Our probabilities: Athletic Club to win 61%, a draw 24%, Getafe to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. Referee: Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
Who will be missing?
Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.23); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 44% probability (odds 2.25).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (14.7%); after that come 2–0 (12.5%) and 1–1 (11.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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