Bet with MINO CASINO →Sevilla meet Alavés on 6 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla). Sevilla (48%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sevilla vs Alavés: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.51 | 4.28 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.36 | 4.05 |
| Lowest odds | 1.87 | 3.04 | 3.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.67 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.92 | 24.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.94 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Alavés, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sevilla 6th (17 points), Alavés 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Sevilla 5W 2D 4L (17:19), Alavés 3W 3D 5L (15:17).
- H2H: 20 matches: Sevilla 8W 7D 5L, goals 25–21.
- Absences: Sevilla 0, Alavés 0.
Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sevilla vs Alavés: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sevilla vs Alavés: who is missing
Sevilla
- No reported absences
Alavés
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Alavés: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sevilla
Home and away
Sevilla vs Alavés: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sevilla are 6th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Alavés are 11th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Sevilla have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Alavés average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sevilla: 5W 2D 4L, goals 17–19; Alavés: 3W 3D 5L, goals 15–17.
- Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Sevilla have 8 wins, Alavés have 5 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–21.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–0 (13.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 20; Sevilla 8 wins, 7 draws, Alavés 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sevilla 17–19, Alavés 15–17.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Absent: Sevilla 0, Alavés 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sevilla are missing: no absences. Alavés are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Alavés: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SevillaLWLDLAlavésLDLLDSevilla vs Alavés: head to head
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Sevilla vs Alavés: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sevilla vs Alavés?
Our result tip is Sevilla to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Sevilla or draw (1X).
Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?
Our probabilities: Sevilla to win 48%, a draw 28%, Alavés to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla.
Who will be missing?
Sevilla: no absences. Alavés: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.28); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.73).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (13.2%); after that come 1–1 (12.5%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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