Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal v Elche is on 17 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal); Víctor García Verdura, Spain takes charge. We think Villarreal (67%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Villarreal vs Elche: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.46 | 5.41 | 7.19 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 5.09 | 6.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.40 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.28 | 40.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Elche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 9th (12 points), Elche 17th (10 points).
- Absences: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Villarreal vs Elche: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Villarreal vs Elche: who is missing
Villarreal
- No reported absences
Elche
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Elche: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Elche: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Villarreal are 9th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Elche are 17th with 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
What to expect
Villarreal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Villarreal are missing: no absences. Elche are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Villarreal vs Elche: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Villarreal vs Elche?
Our result tip is Villarreal to win (odds 1.46), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Villarreal or draw (1X).
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Our probabilities: Villarreal to win 67%, a draw 19%, Elche to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: Víctor García Verdura, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: no absences. Elche: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.41); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.