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La Liga · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 13:00

Getafe vs Sevilla: tip, odds and prediction – 1 November 2026, La Liga

WLDLW
3–1
LWLDL
1Getafe3.49
XDraw3.12
2Sevilla2.55

Best available odds · Updated 1/11/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Getafe v Sevilla is on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe); Victor Garcia Verdura takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Getafe vs Sevilla: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Sevilla (X2)
1.35
Goals
Over 1.5 goals
1.53
71%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Getafe vs Sevilla: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Getafe are 13th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Sevilla are 6th with 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Getafe have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Sevilla average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Getafe: 2W 3D 5L, goals 5–15; Sevilla: 5W 2D 3L, goals 16–16.
  4. Head to head. In their 31 meetings so far, Getafe have 10 wins, Sevilla have 17 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 30–42.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 31; Getafe 10 wins, 4 draws, Sevilla 17 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Getafe 5–15, Sevilla 16–16.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 38%.
  5. Absent: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 2.5 goals (probability 62%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Getafe are missing: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Sevilla are without: Marcao, M. Sierra. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Getafe vs Sevilla: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.493.122.55
Market average3.313.002.41
Lowest odds3.102.812.36
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.531.4963.4%
Over 2.5 goals2.622.5038.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.601.5362.0%
Over 3.5 goals5.254.8819.3%
BTTS – yes2.102.0345.9%
BTTS – no1.801.7254.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Sevilla 6th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Getafe 2W 3D 5L (5:15), Sevilla 5W 2D 3L (16:16).
  • H2H: 31 matches: Getafe 10W 4D 17L, goals 30–42.
  • Absences: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

Getafe29%
Draw32%
Sevilla39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Getafe vs Sevilla: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Sevilla (X2)71.2% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 1.5 goals63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 2.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.60
Likely
Both sides to score: no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Sevilla to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.55
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw31.7% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.12
Outsider
Getafe to win28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.49
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.3%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.49 · Under 2.55
probability of over 63.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.3%
1 : 113.3%
1 : 011.1%
0 : 011.1%
1 : 28.0%
0 : 28.0%

Getafe vs Sevilla: who is missing

Getafe

  • Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Martinred card · will miss the match
  • J. Mojicaabsence · will miss the match
  • Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
  • C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match

Sevilla

  • Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Getafe vs Sevilla: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Getafe

1 NovWGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
25 OctLAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
22 OctLGetafe 2–5 FC Lugano
19 OctDGetafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
15 OctDUniversitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe

Sevilla

1 NovLGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
26 OctWSevilla 2–0 Osasuna
18 OctLReal Madrid 4–1 Sevilla
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla
19 SeptLSevilla 1–3 Barcelona

Home and away

Getafe at home6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–4
Sevilla away6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 10–12

Getafe vs Sevilla: team stats compared

GetafeSevilla
36%Form64%
20%Attack80%
53%Defence47%
29%Head to head71%
33%Goals67%
37.8%Overall62.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

GetafeWLDLW
SevillaLWLDL

Getafe vs Sevilla: head to head

All matches
10Getafe
4Draws
17Sevilla
22/2/26 · Getafe 0–1 Sevilla
25/8/25 · Sevilla 1–2 Getafe
1/2/25 · Getafe 0–0 Sevilla
14/9/24 · Sevilla 1–0 Getafe
30/3/24 · Getafe 0–1 Sevilla
16/1/24 · Getafe 1–3 Sevilla

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.1%

Getafe vs Sevilla: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Getafe vs Sevilla?

Our result tip is Draw or Sevilla (X2) (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Sevilla (X2).

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

Our probabilities: Getafe to win 29%, a draw 32%, Sevilla to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

1 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura.

Who will be missing?

Getafe: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 38% (odds 2.62); under 2.5 goals is at 62% (odds 1.60).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.10).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.3%); after that come 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.