Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal are at home to Espanyol on 30 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), with José María Sánchez Martínez as the referee. Our favourites are Villarreal (68%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Villarreal are 9th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Espanyol are 14th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Villarreal have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Espanyol average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–14; Espanyol: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. In their 29 meetings so far, Villarreal have 14 wins, Espanyol have 5 wins and 10 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 45–28.
What to expect
Villarreal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 29; Villarreal 14 wins, 10 draws, Espanyol 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Villarreal 15–14, Espanyol 12–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Villarreal are missing: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol are without: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.45 | 5.43 | 7.63 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.15 | 6.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.45 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.75 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.12 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.21 | 42.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 9th (12 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 3W 3D 4L (15:14), Espanyol 2W 2D 6L (12:14).
- H2H: 29 matches: Villarreal 14W 10D 5L, goals 45–28.
- Absences: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Villarreal vs Espanyol: who is missing
Villarreal
- I. Akhomachmuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Gueyered card · will miss the match
- N. Salibainjury · will miss the match
Espanyol
- K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
- U. Gonzalezabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gorosabelabsence · will miss the match
- Jofregroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Riedelabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Espanyol: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWDLWEspanyolWLLDLVillarreal vs Espanyol: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Villarreal vs Espanyol: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Our result tip is Villarreal to win (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Villarreal or draw (1X).
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Our probabilities: Villarreal to win 68%, a draw 18%, Espanyol to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.82).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (9.6%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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